Northeast Blizzard

The storm system that raked the Midwest with tornadoes and dropped heavy snow across the Great Lakes region will move off the Atlantic Coast today, creating a classic Nor'Easter as its counterclockwise winds pull in copious moisture from the ocean.  Up to two feet of snow is expected from New Jersey to Boston and the high winds will produce blizzard conditions.

February is the peak month for Nor'Easters as gyrations in the jet stream trigger the fickle and rapidly changing weather of early spring.  The exact track of the storm determines the impact on coastal cities and the current forecast indicates that this one may be devastating, perhaps shutting down travel throughout the region.

Then again, all the snow and misery will fuel the conviction of the uninformed (and politically motivated) that global warming is a hoax, ignoring the fact that powerful storms and an energized jet stream are fueled by heat.  

February Tornadoes

While tornadoes are not uncommon in February across the Gulf Coast States, they are certainly unusual in the Midwest, where sufficient heat and humidity have historically been rare in the past.  Last evening, however, several tornadoes developed across Illinois and Indiana as a potent cold front swept in from the northwest.

Bloomington, Indiana, appears to have received most of the damage though the tornado watch extended from the Mississippi Valley to central Ohio.  Once again, our warming climate seemed to be at least partly responsible, both for the unusual February warmth and the potent storm that triggered the outbreak.  Now centered over southern Wisconsin, this winter storm is expected to produce heavy snow across the Great Lakes Region and New England.

Here in Missouri, we experienced the strong, northwest winds and dramatic temperature drop behind the front (from the mid 60s F yesterday afternoon to low 20s F this morning) but dodged the tornadic thunderstorms.  Several afternoons in the thirties will remind us that it is still February. 

Health, Politics & Environmentalism

The anti-science fervor of the Trump Administration threatens the health of Americans and the welfare of our natural environment.  Policies that eliminate restrictions on fossil fuel emissions, expand drilling and development within previously protected ecosystems, cutback funding for medical research and reduce support for childhood immunizations are among the most outrageous.

Of course, most of these political moves affect low-income citizens more than wealthy Americans who do not live in industrial areas and are able to benefit from modern medicine without the need for government assistance.

On the other hand, rolling back environmental protection affects the health of all humans and every ecosystem on the planet.  Pollution and climate change are never just local problems.  Vote Democratic in November!   

A Blackbird Spectacle

Yesterday morning, out on the farmlands east of Columbia, I came across a massive flock of blackbirds feeding in corn stubble along a graveled road.  To my surprise, it was only one of several massive flocks that I would encounter.

As I drove past them, the flocks would rise and fall in spectacular aerial displays, partly in response to a pair of northern harriers that were patrolling the fields.  Steady streams of blackbirds passed above my pickup, heading from one field to another.  Over a three mile stretch, I must have seen at least 30,000 of those noisy migrants.

Those close enough to identify from my truck were all Brewer's blackbirds.  This species breeds on the Canadian prairies and southward across the Northern Plains of the U.S; they winter throughout the Southern States and into Mexico.  Permanent populations are found along the West Coast and throughout the Intermountain West but, here in Missouri, they are purely migrants, often traveling in the company of grackles and other blackbird species. 

Local Topography

During my youth in Cincinnati, we lived near a large creek that led westward and downward through forest and then across open farmlands.  Though we often followed it for miles, I remember wondering where it eventually led.

When I grew older and became a bit more sophisticated regarding our local geography, I realized that the creek was one of many that flow into the Mill Creek Valley from the ridges that border it.  But that early curiosity fed a life-long interest in topography and how our modern landscapes came to be.  Indeed, over time, I became increasingly interested in geology and hydrology and cannot travel anywhere without paying attention to the streams and rivers that I cross.

Understanding the local geography also fuels attention to the varied ecosystems that characterize one's city or town and, of course, to the myriad of wild creatures that inhabit them.

See also: Wonderland

Snowpack Rescue

A series of Pacific storms will pummel the Cascades and Sierra Nevada for the next few days and  produce flooding along the West Coast.  Over the next week, the snow is forecast to spread throughout the Intermountain region, including the mountains of Idaho, the Great Basin, the Wasatch Front of Utah and the Rocky Mountain corridor.

Snowfall has been far below normal throughout most of the American West this winter, endangering its varied ecosystems and the water supply of its cities.  These storms are expected to significantly boost the mountain snowpack across that region, a welcome development as we approach March.

Of course, higher elevations of the West can generally expect more snow through the spring and peak snowmelt does not generally begin before mid-late May.  Hopefully, this vital recovery will continue until then. 

Trusting our Intelligence

Were it not for our large brains, we humans would surely have died out long ago.  Not physically equipped to match the speed and strength of African predators, we would never have left that Continent.

As it turned out, our large brains came to the rescue and we eventually spread across the globe.  In concert, the sophistication of our varied cultures increased and the Industrial and Technological Revolutions assured that we would take control of the planet, leading to both good and bad consequences.  Indeed, we may yet facilitate our own extinction.

Throughout this history, intellectual endeavors were challenged by mysticism and political expediency in their various forms.  It is imperative that we trust our intelligence and the scientific method that we learned to utilize in order to survive and thrive.  Modern efforts to ignore or debase science will hasten our demise; unfortunately, we will take most other species with us.

First Spring Storm

The latest Pacific storm, which gathered strength over the Four Corners region, is now spinning in western Kansas.  Ahead of its central zone of low pressure, southerly winds are sweeping Gulf of Mexico moisture northward into the Heartland.  This morning, rain is falling across all of Missouri and is expected to continue throughout the day.

Farther south, where the humidity and temperature are summer-like, thunderstorms are forecast to develop along the cold front.  Indeed, the Gulf Coast States, from Texas to Florida are under a severe thunderstorm watch, including the possibility of large hail and tornados, through the weekend.

Today's chilly rain is more than welcome in Missouri where drought conditions persist despite the heavy snow two weeks ago.  However much we receive will provide a temporary respite since warm, sunny weather is expected for most of the coming week. 

Writers & Artificial Intelligence

In order to "learn" facts and writing style, artificial intelligence "scrapers" have been unleashed across the internet and public blogs are among their most common targets.  Indeed, over the past couple of years, my page views have increased dramatically due to this technologic consumption.

The only means of disrupting this intellectual theft is to privatize your blog, negating its purpose.  While I am not particularly bothered by this development, one might expect some documentation of sources when AI content is produced.

On the other hand, true writers will not use AI to produce their own material.  We must write and our work must reflect our personal knowledge, experience and creativity.  Using technical shortcuts would be unsatisfying and disingenuous.  

Forgoing Luxury

During this era of political dysfunction and reduced funding for both national and international aid programs, it seems appropriate that those of us with the means to do so might redirect our relative wealth from personal spending to the needs of less fortunate populations.

While I am not a socialist, I do believe that we humans need to step up when our government fails to do so; less personal consumption and more philanthropy seems especially appropriate during the reign of King Trump.  Most of us would agree that we can lead perfectly comfortable lives without choosing to purchase "high end products" or take extravagant vacations.

Indeed, the joys of life are rarely related to the money that we spend to experience them.  On the other hand, a commitment to sharing our wealth is always satisfying.

See also:  The Cost of Extravagance 

Aging and Independence

We humans hope to live a long, healthy life but many, perhaps most of us, do not wish to outlive our independence.  Achieving that goal is not always successful due to illness but staying active and adhering to science-based lifestyle recommendations increase our chances.

Attention to visual and hearing deficits is especially important since a safe interaction with our environment and effective communication with our family and friends help to stave off accidents, a common trigger of deteriorating health in older individuals.  Since our ability to absorb essential nutrients diminishes with age, a healthy, well-balanced diet is very important; a daily multivitamin tablet makes sense but most longevity-enhancing supplements, advertised on TV, are of dubious value.

Finally, the importance of acknowledging one's limitations is too often ignored and independence may be threatened by an unwillingness to ask for assistance, especially when facing high-risk tasks.  Pride should never be the cause of an early demise. 

The Prestige Bowl

Today's Super Bowl, in California, is more than the NFL Championship Game.  It is the place to be seen for the wealthy and the well-connected.  No doubt, private jets have already arrived from across the globe.

While tickets are said to average $6000-$7000, celebrities, corporate executives and their guests shell out far more for the suites.  Leading up to the game, we have heard from many of those wealthy individuals, publicly affirming their intention (i.e. qualification) to attend the game and, perhaps more importantly, its social events.

The gladiators themselves are rewarded handsomely for their willingness to risk serious injury and, down the line, chronic traumatic encephalopathy while sports betting services encourage TV viewers to wager their hard-earned money on every aspect of the contest.  Enjoy the Greatest American spectacle!  I will pass.

The Dolomites

Those watching the Winter Olympics from Italy, may have heard that the skiing events are being held in The Dolomites.  This range, in northeast Italy, lies within the Southern Limestone Region of the Alps.

Most of the land that is now Italy became part of Northern Africa when the Tethys Sea opened, some 200 million years ago, separating Europe and Africa.  When that Sea closed, beginning 50 million years ago, Italy was Africa's leading point as it drifted northward and rammed into Europe, lifting the Alps and associated ranges in the process; marine sediments from the Tethys thus form the southern edge of the Alps.  In areas where the sediments were rich in magnesium, the limestone took the form of dolomite (calcium-magnesium-carbonate).

Dolomite is found in many limestone formations across the globe.  Of interest to those of us in Missouri, it is widespread in the Ordovician limestone of the Ozarks.

See also: Italy and Africa and Oil and the Tethys Sea

Flashback Post LXXIII

As the Winter Olympics get underway in Milan, Italy, I have decided to repost my sentiments from August, 2024.

See: Thoughts on the Olympics 

Journalism & Freedom

The founder of the largest book distribution system in the U.S. has reduced staffing at the Washington Post by 30%.  One would think that Jeff Bezos, who began his lucrative career by encouraging Americans to purchase and read books of all genres, would respect the importance of journalism in this highly politicized country and across the globe.

Unfortunately, one suspects that this mass firing is more of a political than a financial move.  Having purchased the paper that brought down Nixon, Bezos, among the most wealthy individuals in America, seems to be reluctant to demonstrate independence during the reign of another corrupt and power-hungry President.

What can be more important than an aggressive free press when our Democracy is threatened and human rights are under attack?  As a vital election approaches, this drastic decision is especially suspect and unfortunate.

Trump & Groundhog Day

Yesterday, Americans were subjected to the silly, annual rites of Groundhog Day.  I suspect most of us are more enamored with the film than the ritual; in that film, a TV weather man (Bill Murray) is forced to relive Groundhog Day until he becomes empathetic and is able to express love.

In modern-day America, we now wake up each morning to learn that Our Dear Leader has released another Presidential order, attacking, suing or degrading one of his presumed enemies or expanding the power of his office.  Trump has not and will not learn from his cruel, selfish behavior.  Extreme narcissism negates a happy ending for him or for our country.

Incapable of kindness, empathy or compassion, Trump will never leave office voluntarily.  A third Impeachment will likely be the only means of putting an end to our ongoing Groundhog Day.   

The Thaw Begins

After two weeks of frigid weather and a period of heavy snow, a thaw has begun in central Missouri.  Though overnight lows may dip below freezing, afternoon highs are expected to gradually climb over the next ten days.

Down at Eagle Bluffs Conservation Area this afternoon, the amount of open water had increased, attracting a mix of gadwall, mallards, green-winged teal and ring-necked ducks.  Except for a northern harrier and a few members of the sparrow family, bird sightings were otherwise limited.

But the current forecast is reassuring, fortifying my conviction that February should be considered the first month of spring.  The birth of great horned owls, the nesting activity of magpie and crows, the northward migration of geese,  the drumming and hysterical call of flickers, increasing birdsong and the blooming of early bulb plants all signal the gradual change of seasons.  Following the extreme cold in January, the coming thaw will be especially welcome.